Paul,
I think there at least should be a note on the real estate area. I have watched John McGrath talking positively about the Sydney market, but as I watch people desperately trying to buy the next property even with a simple 20% deposit, I wonder what happens when the merry go round slows down. I am not talking a market collapse here by the way.
As an example, I use a $1 million property with a deposit of $200,000, leaving a loan of $800,000. If the market simply pulls back 10% (which is quite possible) the bank may look at the properties and say you need to top up. Following the example, the $1 million property now moves to $900,000, the loan is $800,000 the ratio is still 80% by the bank and so they now need a top up of $80,000 to bring it back into kilter.
If the loan ratio is further up towards 90% it gets worse.
This needs to be broached, as if this starts to occur, then there will be a serious amount of tears around the place.
Australian banks have shown themselves to be very quick to ensure shareholders funds and bonuses are not impacted by market fluctuations.
Your thoughts?